CourtFrame
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Euroleague

Paris vs Fenerbahce

Prediction & preview · Wednesday, November 11, 2026 • Accor Arena

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Fenerbahce

Projected margin: Fenerbahce by 6.5

71%Win probability
Paris 29%Bookmakers 31–6971% Fenerbahce

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour Fenerbahce
  • Elo
    53%
  • Logistic
    59%
  • Logistic v2
    60%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    59%
  • Gradient boosting
    62%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    60%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    71%
  • LLM panel
    72%

Bookmakers: Fenerbahce 69%

Power Index

Paris52.7#12
Fenerbahce81.1#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Paris4–6
LLWWW
6 days rest
Fenerbahce7–3
WWLLW
6 days rest

Game Preview

Paris host Fenerbahce at Accor Arena on Wednesday, November 11 in the Euroleague. Paris are 4–6 this season, Fenerbahce 7–3. Paris have won their last 3 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Paris are 12th at 52.7 and Fenerbahce 7th at 81.1.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Fenerbahce the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Fenerbahce at 69% against our 71%.
  • 3Power Index: Fenerbahce 7th, Paris 12th.
  • 4Paris: L-L-W-W-W in the last 5.
  • 5Fenerbahce: W-W-L-L-W in the last 5.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 71%)

The CourtFrame model has Fenerbahce winning 71% of the time, by 6.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 53–72%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Fast vs Slow90.1 vs 83.8
Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%20% / 25%

Game Info

Date
Wed, Nov 11
Time
7:45 PM UTC
Venue
Accor Arena
Stage
Regular season · Round 11

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