Prediction
How it works · Track recordCourtFrame model · Clear favourite
UC Davis
Projected margin: UC Davis by 11.5
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.
Where the value is on this game
Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.
- Elo79%
- Logistic83%
- Logistic v282%
- Logistic v2 + players81%
- Gradient boosting81%
- Gradient boosting + players80%
- v3 · market consensusPub87%
- LLM panel86%
Bookmakers: UC Davis 84%
Power Index
Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings
Form · Last 5
Game Preview
UC Davis host Incarnate Word on Wednesday, November 11 in the NCAA. UC Davis are 1–1 this season, Incarnate Word 0–3. Incarnate Word have lost their last 3 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, UC Davis are 191st at 44.8 and Incarnate Word 348th at 0.0.
Key Factors to Watch
- 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make UC Davis the favourite.
- 2Bookmakers agree: UC Davis at 84% against our 87%.
- 3Power Index: UC Davis 191st, Incarnate Word 348th.
- 4Incarnate Word: L-L-L in the last 3.
- 5Rest: UC Davis 5 days, Incarnate Word 2 days.
Model Outlook(Win probability: 87%)
The CourtFrame model has UC Davis winning 87% of the time, by 11.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 79–87%.
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works
Matchup Insights
Game Info
- League
- NCAA
- Date
- Wed, Nov 11
- Time
- 2:00 PM EST