CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Marshall vs Toledo

Prediction & preview · Saturday, November 7, 2026

CourtFrame model · Lean

Marshall

Projected margin: Marshall by 2.5

57%Win probability
Marshall 57%Bookmakers 56–4443% Toledo

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour Marshall
  • Elo
    62%
  • Logistic
    66%
  • Logistic v2
    71%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    71%
  • Gradient boosting
    73%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    73%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    57%
  • LLM panel
    60%

Bookmakers: Marshall 56%

Power Index

Marshall40.0↓17.1#220
Toledo0.0#308
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Marshall1–0
W
4 days rest
Toledo0–2
WLLL
Back-to-back

Game Preview

Marshall host Toledo on Saturday, November 7 in the NCAA. Marshall are 1–0 this season, Toledo 0–2. Toledo have lost their last 3 league games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Marshall are 220th at 40.0 and Toledo 308th at 0.0. Toledo play the second night of a back-to-back.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Marshall the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Marshall at 56% against our 57%.
  • 3Power Index: Marshall 220th, Toledo 308th.
  • 4Toledo: W-L-L-L in the last 4 league games.
  • 5Rest: Marshall 4 days, Toledo a back-to-back.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 57%)

The CourtFrame model has Marshall winning 57% of the time, by 2.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 57–73%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeHome Advantage
Home/Away Win%100% / 0%

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Sat, Nov 7
Time
2:00 PM EST

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