CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Colorado vs San Diego State

Prediction & preview · Saturday, November 7, 2026

CourtFrame model · Lean

San Diego State

Projected margin: San Diego State by 0.5

55%Win probability
Colorado 45%Bookmakers 45–5555% San Diego State

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models6 of 8 favour Colorado
  • Elo
    52%
  • Logistic
    52%
  • Logistic v2
    53%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    53%
  • Gradient boosting
    54%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    54%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    45%
  • LLM panel
    46%

Bookmakers: Colorado 45%

Power Index

Colorado40.0↓17.1#167
San Diego State40.0↓17.1#204
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Colorado1–0
W
4 days rest
San Diego State1–0
WWLW
3 days rest

Game Preview

Colorado host San Diego State on Saturday, November 7 in the NCAA. Colorado are 1–0 this season, San Diego State 1–0. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Colorado are 167th at 40.0 and San Diego State 204th at 40.0.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 1Our models split from the pick: 6 of 8 favour Colorado.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: San Diego State at 55% against our 55%.
  • 3Power Index: Colorado 167th, San Diego State 204th.
  • 4San Diego State: W-W-L-W in the last 4 league games.
  • 5Rest: Colorado 4 days, San Diego State 3 days.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 55%)

The CourtFrame model has San Diego State winning 55% of the time, by 0.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 46–55%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Sat, Nov 7
Time
3:30 PM EST