CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

East Carolina vs NC Wilmington

Prediction & preview · Saturday, November 7, 2026

CourtFrame model · Lean

NC Wilmington

Projected margin: NC Wilmington by 2.5

61%Win probability
East Carolina 39%Bookmakers 39–6161% NC Wilmington

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour NC Wilmington
  • Elo
    61%
  • Logistic
    62%
  • Logistic v2
    66%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    66%
  • Gradient boosting
    64%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    63%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    61%
  • LLM panel
    60%

Bookmakers: NC Wilmington 61%

Power Index

East Carolina40.0↓17.1#147
NC Wilmington70.0↓30.0#38
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

East Carolina1–0
W
4 days rest
NC Wilmington1–0
W
4 days rest

Game Preview

East Carolina host NC Wilmington on Saturday, November 7 in the NCAA. East Carolina are 1–0 this season, NC Wilmington 1–0. In the CourtFrame Power Index, East Carolina are 147th at 40.0 and NC Wilmington 38th at 70.0.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make NC Wilmington the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: NC Wilmington at 61% against our 61%.
  • 3Power Index: NC Wilmington 38th, East Carolina 147th.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 61%)

The CourtFrame model has NC Wilmington winning 61% of the time, by 2.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 60–66%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Sat, Nov 7
Time
2:00 PM EST