CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Florida State vs Troy

Prediction & preview · Friday, November 6, 2026

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Florida State

Projected margin: Florida State by 22.5

92%Win probability
Florida State 92%Bookmakers 94–68% Troy

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

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Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour Florida State
  • Elo
    57%
  • Logistic
    60%
  • Logistic v2
    55%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    55%
  • Gradient boosting
    56%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    57%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    98%
  • LLM panel
    92%

Bookmakers: Florida State 94%

Power Index

Florida State0.0#252
Troy0.0#345
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Florida State1–0
LW
4 days rest
Troy0–1
LL
4 days rest

Game Preview

Florida State host Troy on Friday, November 6 in the NCAA. Florida State are 1–0 this season, Troy 0–1. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Florida State are 252nd at 0.0 and Troy 345th at 0.0.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Florida State the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Florida State at 94% against our 92%.
  • 3Power Index: Florida State 252nd, Troy 345th.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 92%)

The CourtFrame model has Florida State winning 92% of the time, by 22.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 55–98%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Fri, Nov 6
Time
7:00 PM EST