CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Purdue vs Valparaiso

Prediction & preview · Friday, November 6, 2026

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Purdue

Projected margin: Purdue by 19.0

92%Win probability
Purdue 92%Bookmakers 94–68% Valparaiso

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour Purdue
  • Elo
    86%
  • Logistic
    83%
  • Logistic v2
    77%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    76%
  • Gradient boosting
    85%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    84%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    97%
  • LLM panel
    87%

Bookmakers: Purdue 94%

Power Index

Purdue57.1#170
Valparaiso57.1#182
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Purdue1–0
WWWLW
3 days rest
Valparaiso1–0
W
3 days rest

Game Preview

Purdue host Valparaiso on Friday, November 6 in the NCAA. Purdue are 1–0 this season, Valparaiso 1–0. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Purdue are 170th at 57.1 and Valparaiso 182nd at 57.1.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Purdue the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Purdue at 94% against our 92%.
  • 3Power Index: Purdue 170th, Valparaiso 182nd.
  • 4Purdue: W-W-W-L-W in the last 5 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 92%)

The CourtFrame model has Purdue winning 92% of the time, by 19.0 points. Across our 8 models the range is 76–97%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Fri, Nov 6
Time
6:30 PM EST