CourtFrame
Pricing
Premier League

Al Najma vs Al Muharraq

Prediction & preview · Friday, November 6, 2026

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Al Muharraq

Projected margin: Al Muharraq by 8.5

78%Win probability
Al Najma 22%Bookmakers 28–7278% Al Muharraq

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour Al Muharraq
  • Elo
    66%
  • Logistic
    72%
  • Logistic v2
    70%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    69%
  • Gradient boosting
    66%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    64%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    78%
  • LLM panel
    67%

Bookmakers: Al Muharraq 72%

Power Index

Al Najma100.0#1
Al Muharraq79.6↓4.9#2
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Al Najma4–0
LWWWW
Al Muharraq4–0
WWWWW

Game Preview

Al Najma host Al Muharraq on Friday, November 6 in the Premier League. Al Najma are 4–0 this season, Al Muharraq 4–0. Al Najma have won their last 4 league games. Al Muharraq have won their last 5 league games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Al Najma are 1st at 100.0 and Al Muharraq 2nd at 79.6.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Al Muharraq the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers price Al Muharraq at 72%, 6 points below our 78%.
  • 3Power Index: Al Najma 1st, Al Muharraq 2nd.
  • 4Al Najma: L-W-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.
  • 5Al Muharraq: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 78%)

The CourtFrame model has Al Muharraq winning 78% of the time, by 8.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 64–78%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Home/Away Win%100% / 100%

Game Info

Date
Fri, Nov 6
Time
5:00 PM UTC