CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Fairfield vs Vermont

Prediction & preview · Thursday, November 5, 2026

CourtFrame model · Lean

Fairfield

Projected margin: Fairfield by 1.1

55%Win probability
Fairfield 55%Bookmakers 52–4845% Vermont

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Fairfield
  • Elo
    56%
  • Logistic
    54%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    55%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    56%
  • Gradient boosting
    58%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    58%
  • LLM panel
    60%

Bookmakers: Fairfield 52%

Power Index · 2025-26 final

Fairfield64.9#67
Vermont59.6#88
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league that season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Fairfield
No recent games
Vermont0–1
LL
3 days rest

Game Preview

Fairfield host Vermont on Thursday, November 5 in the NCAA. In the CourtFrame Power Index (last season's final), Fairfield are 67th at 64.9 and Vermont 88th at 59.6.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Fairfield the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Fairfield at 52% against our 55%.
  • 3Power Index (last season): Fairfield 67th, Vermont 88th.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 55%)

The CourtFrame model has Fairfield winning 55% of the time, by 1.1 points. Across our 7 models the range is 54–60%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Thu, Nov 5
Time
7:00 PM EST