CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Merrimack Warriors vs UMass Lowell

Prediction & preview · Thursday, November 5, 2026

CourtFrame model · Lean

Merrimack Warriors

Projected margin: Merrimack Warriors by 5.9

69%Win probability
Merrimack Warriors 69%Bookmakers 73–2731% UMass Lowell

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Merrimack Warriors
  • Elo
    76%
  • Logistic
    70%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    69%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    69%
  • Gradient boosting
    74%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    75%
  • LLM panel
    55%

Bookmakers: Merrimack Warriors 73%

Power Index

Merrimack Warriors57.1↓42.9#141
UMass Lowell100.0#1
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Merrimack Warriors1–0
LW
4 days rest
UMass Lowell1–0
W
3 days rest

Game Preview

Merrimack Warriors host UMass Lowell on Thursday, November 5 in the NCAA. Merrimack Warriors are 1–0 this season, UMass Lowell 1–0. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Merrimack Warriors are 141st at 57.1 and UMass Lowell 1st at 100.0.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Merrimack Warriors the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Merrimack Warriors at 73% against our 69%.
  • 3Power Index: UMass Lowell 1st, Merrimack Warriors 141st.
  • 4Rest: Merrimack Warriors 4 days, UMass Lowell 3 days.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 69%)

The CourtFrame model has Merrimack Warriors winning 69% of the time, by 5.9 points. Across our 7 models the range is 55–76%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Thu, Nov 5
Time
7:00 PM EST