CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Incarnate Word vs Chicago State

Prediction & preview · Thursday, November 5, 2026

CourtFrame model · Lean

Incarnate Word

Projected margin: Incarnate Word by 5.3

68%Win probability
Incarnate Word 68%32% Chicago State

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Incarnate Word
  • Elo
    72%
  • Logistic
    69%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    68%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    67%
  • Gradient boosting
    72%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    71%
  • LLM panel
    59%

Power Index

Incarnate Word0.0#306
Chicago State0.0#275
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Incarnate Word0–1
L
2 days rest
Chicago State0–1
L
2 days rest

Game Preview

Incarnate Word host Chicago State on Thursday, November 5 in the NCAA. Incarnate Word are 0–1 this season, Chicago State 0–1. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Incarnate Word are 306th at 0.0 and Chicago State 275th at 0.0.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Incarnate Word the favourite.
  • 2Power Index: Chicago State 275th, Incarnate Word 306th.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 68%)

The CourtFrame model has Incarnate Word winning 68% of the time, by 5.3 points. Across our 7 models the range is 59–72%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Thu, Nov 5
Time
6:00 PM EST