CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Pittsburgh vs Buffalo

Prediction & preview · Thursday, November 5, 2026

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Pittsburgh

Projected margin: Pittsburgh by 11.2

82%Win probability
Pittsburgh 82%Bookmakers 93–718% Buffalo

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Pittsburgh
  • Elo
    75%
  • Logistic
    79%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    82%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    82%
  • Gradient boosting
    80%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    80%
  • LLM panel
    92%

Bookmakers: Pittsburgh 93%

Power Index

Pittsburgh57.1↓42.9#86
Buffalo0.0#261
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Pittsburgh1–0
LW
3 days rest
Buffalo0–1
LL
3 days rest

Game Preview

Pittsburgh host Buffalo on Thursday, November 5 in the NCAA. Pittsburgh are 1–0 this season, Buffalo 0–1. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Pittsburgh are 86th at 57.1 and Buffalo 261st at 0.0.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Pittsburgh the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers price Pittsburgh at 93%, 11 points above our 82%.
  • 3Power Index: Pittsburgh 86th, Buffalo 261st.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 82%)

The CourtFrame model has Pittsburgh winning 82% of the time, by 11.2 points. Across our 7 models the range is 75–92%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%100% / 0%

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Thu, Nov 5
Time
7:00 PM EST