CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

North Texas vs McNeese State

Prediction & preview · Thursday, November 5, 2026

CourtFrame model · Lean

North Texas

Projected margin: North Texas by 2.9

62%Win probability
North Texas 62%Bookmakers 47–5338% McNeese State

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

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7 Models6 of 7 favour North Texas
  • Elo
    50%
  • Logistic
    56%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    62%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    63%
  • Gradient boosting
    52%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    52%
  • LLM panel
    39%

Bookmakers: North Texas 47%

Power Index · 2025-26 final

North Texas53.4#132
McNeese State84.3#9
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league that season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

North Texas1–0
WLW
2 days rest
McNeese State1–0
WWLW
3 days rest

Game Preview

North Texas host McNeese State on Thursday, November 5 in the NCAA. North Texas are 1–0 this season, McNeese State 1–0. In the CourtFrame Power Index (last season's final), North Texas are 132nd at 53.4 and McNeese State 9th at 84.3.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 16 of 7 CourtFrame models make North Texas the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers price North Texas at 47%, 15 points below our 62%.
  • 3Power Index (last season): McNeese State 9th, North Texas 132nd.
  • 4North Texas: W-L-W in the last 3 league games.
  • 5McNeese State: W-W-L-W in the last 4 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 62%)

The CourtFrame model has North Texas winning 62% of the time, by 2.9 points. Across our 7 models the range is 39–63%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Thu, Nov 5
Time
5:00 PM EST