CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

St. Marys (CA) vs Illinois State

Prediction & preview · Monday, November 2, 2026

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

St. Marys (CA)

Projected margin: St. Marys (CA) by 10.2

77%Win probability
St. Marys (CA) 77%23% Illinois State

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour St. Marys (CA)
  • Elo
    78%
  • Logistic
    80%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    77%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    77%
  • Gradient boosting
    81%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    82%
  • LLM panel
    58%

Power Index · 2025-26 final

St. Marys (CA)76.3#18
Illinois State60.1#84
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league that season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

St. Marys (CA)
LL
Illinois State
No recent games

Game Preview

St. Marys (CA) host Illinois State on Monday, November 2 in the NCAA. In the CourtFrame Power Index (last season's final), St. Marys (CA) are 18th at 76.3 and Illinois State 84th at 60.1.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make St. Marys (CA) the favourite.
  • 2Power Index (last season): St. Marys (CA) 18th, Illinois State 84th.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 77%)

The CourtFrame model has St. Marys (CA) winning 77% of the time, by 10.2 points. Across our 7 models the range is 58–82%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Mon, Nov 2
Time
10:00 PM EST