Prediction
How it works · Track recordCourtFrame model · Clear favourite
Troy
Projected margin: Troy by 7.4
71%Win probability
Troy 71%29% UMass
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.
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7 Models7 of 7 favour Troy
- Elo74%
- Logistic72%
- Logistic v2Pub71%
- Logistic v2 + players71%
- Gradient boosting72%
- Gradient boosting + players72%
- LLM panel59%
Power Index · 2025-26 final
Troy54.2#130
UMass39.8#226
Components scaled within the league that season. Rankings
Form · Last 5 · incl. last season
Troy
WWL
UMass
WL
Game Preview
Troy host UMass on Monday, November 2 in the NCAA. In the CourtFrame Power Index (last season's final), Troy are 130th at 54.2 and UMass 226th at 39.8.
Key Factors to Watch
- 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Troy the favourite.
- 2Power Index (last season): Troy 130th, UMass 226th.
- 3Troy: W-W-L in the last 3 league games.
Model Outlook(Win probability: 71%)
The CourtFrame model has Troy winning 71% of the time, by 7.4 points. Across our 7 models the range is 59–74%.
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works