CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Merrimack Warriors vs Appalachian State

Prediction & preview · Monday, November 2, 2026

Our pick · Toss-up

Merrimack Warriors

53%Win probability
Merrimack Warriors 53%47% Appalachian State

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Merrimack Warriors
  • Elo
    67%
  • Logistic
    65%
  • Logistic v2
    65%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    65%
  • Gradient boosting
    63%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    63%
  • LLM panelPub
    53%

Power Index · 2025-26 final

Merrimack Warriors68.4#42
Appalachian State56.2#110
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league that season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Merrimack Warriors
WL
Appalachian State
No recent games

Game Preview

Merrimack Warriors host Appalachian State on Monday, November 2 in the NCAA. In the CourtFrame Power Index (last season's final), Merrimack Warriors are 42nd at 68.4 and Appalachian State 110th at 56.2.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Merrimack Warriors the favourite.
  • 2Power Index (last season): Merrimack Warriors 42nd, Appalachian State 110th.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 53%)

Our pick has Merrimack Warriors winning 53% of the time. Across our 7 models the range is 53–67%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Mon, Nov 2
Time
6:00 AM EST