CourtFrame
Pricing
NBA

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Prediction & preview · Saturday, October 31, 2026 • Toyota Center

Our pick · Lean

Houston Rockets

Projected margin: Houston Rockets by 4.3

60%Win probability
Houston Rockets 60%40% Oklahoma City Thunder

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models4 of 7 favour Houston Rockets
  • Elo
    40%
  • Logistic
    47%
  • Logistic v2
    51%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    55%
  • Gradient boosting
    49%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    59%
  • LLM panelPub
    60%

Power Index

Houston Rockets60.2↓4.9#5
Oklahoma City Thunder53.3↓5.0#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Houston Rockets4–0
LWWWW
5 days rest
Oklahoma City Thunder4–0
LWWWW
5 days rest

Game Preview

Houston Rockets host Oklahoma City Thunder at Toyota Center on Saturday, October 31 in the NBA. Houston Rockets are 4–0 this season, Oklahoma City Thunder 4–0. Houston Rockets have won their last 4 league games. Oklahoma City Thunder have won their last 4 league games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Houston Rockets are 5th at 60.2 and Oklahoma City Thunder 7th at 53.3.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 14 of 7 CourtFrame models make Houston Rockets the favourite.
  • 2Power Index: Houston Rockets 5th, Oklahoma City Thunder 7th.
  • 3Houston Rockets: L-W-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.
  • 4Oklahoma City Thunder: L-W-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 60%)

Our pick has Houston Rockets winning 60% of the time, by 4.3 points. Across our 7 models the range is 40–60%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Injury Report

Houston Rockets
  • OUT
    Steven Adams
    Soleus Strain
  • OUT
    Marcus Smart
    Forearm Strain
  • OUT
    Steven Adams
    Soleus Strain
  • OUT
    Alperen Sengun
    Low Back Soreness
  • GTD
    Marcus Smart
    Forearm Strain
Oklahoma City Thunder
  • OUT
    Alex Caruso
    Ankle Sprain
  • OUT
    Chet Holmgren
    Knee Patellar Tendinitis
  • OUT
    Thomas Sorber
    Knee Surgery
  • OUT
    Nikola Topic
    Low back surgery
  • OUT
    Cason Wallace
    Shoulder Labral Tear
  • OUT
    Jalen Williams
    Ankle Fracture
  • GTD
    Ajay Mitchell
    Ankle Sprain

Updated daily. Data from official injury reports.

Matchup Insights

Pace
Slow vs Fast105.3 vs 115.5
Injury ImpactCritical
Home/Away Win%100% / 100%

Game Info

League
NBA
Date
Sat, Oct 31
Time
8:30 PM EDT
Venue
Toyota Center
Stage
Regular season