Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Prediction & preview · Friday, October 30, 2026 • American Airlines Center

Houston Rockets

Away

See how the model expects this to go

Prediction

How it works · Track record

Our pick · Lean

Houston Rockets

Projected margin: Houston Rockets by 5.1

63%Win probability

Dallas Mavericks 37%63% Houston Rockets

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Houston Rockets

Elo
72%
Logistic
68%
Logistic v2
77%
Logistic v2 + players
79%
Gradient boosting
77%
Gradient boosting + players
79%
LLM panelPub
63%

Power Index

Dallas Mavericks37.3↓5.0#16

Houston Rockets60.2↓4.9#5

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Dallas Mavericks2–2

WLWLW

5 days rest

Houston Rockets4–0

LWWWW

4 days rest

Game Preview

Dallas Mavericks host Houston Rockets at American Airlines Center on Friday, October 30 in the NBA. Dallas Mavericks are 2–2 this season, Houston Rockets 4–0. Houston Rockets have won their last 4 league games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Dallas Mavericks are 16th at 37.3 and Houston Rockets 5th at 60.2.

Key Factors to Watch

17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Houston Rockets the favourite.
2Power Index: Houston Rockets 5th, Dallas Mavericks 16th.
3Dallas Mavericks: W-L-W-L-W in the last 5 league games.
4Houston Rockets: L-W-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.
5Rest: Dallas Mavericks 5 days, Houston Rockets 4 days.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 63%)

Our pick has Houston Rockets winning 63% of the time, by 5.1 points. Across our 7 models the range is 63–79%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Injury Report

Dallas Mavericks

OUT
Santi Aldama
Knee Surgery
OUT
Tarik Biberovic
Heel Bursitis
OUT
Dereck Lively II
Foot Surgery
OUT
Naji Marshall
Illness
OUT
Caleb Martin
Thumb Sprain
OUT
Sergio Larrea
Knee Sprain
OUT
Dereck Lively II
Foot Surgery
DOUBTFUL
Santi Aldama
Knee Surgery
DOUBTFUL
Tarik Biberovic
Heel Bursitis de
GTD
Kyrie Irving
Knee Injury Management
GTD
Naji Marshall
Illness
GTD
Caleb Martin
Thumb Sprain

Houston Rockets

OUT
Steven Adams
Soleus Strain
OUT
Marcus Smart
Forearm Strain
OUT
Steven Adams
Soleus Strain
OUT
Alperen Sengun
Low Back Soreness
GTD
Marcus Smart
Forearm Strain

Updated daily. Data from official injury reports.

Matchup Insights

Pace

Slow vs Fast28.1 vs 105.8

Injury ImpactCritical

Schedule EdgeEven

Game Info

League: NBA
Date: Fri, Oct 30
Time: 8:00 PM EDT
Venue: American Airlines Center
Stage: Regular season

Team Pages

Dallas Mavericks

Houston Rockets