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NBA

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings

Prediction & preview · Thursday, October 29, 2026 • Smoothie King Center

Our pick · Toss-up

Sacramento Kings

Projected margin: Sacramento Kings by 2.7

52%Win probability
New Orleans Pelicans 48%52% Sacramento Kings

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models6 of 7 favour New Orleans Pelicans
  • Elo
    65%
  • Logistic
    65%
  • Logistic v2
    60%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    59%
  • Gradient boosting
    59%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    59%
  • LLM panelPub
    48%

Power Index

New Orleans Pelicans18.1↓5.9#24
Sacramento Kings20.5↓6.4#23
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

New Orleans Pelicans0–3
LLLLL
5 days rest
Sacramento Kings0–4
LLLLL
2 days rest

Game Preview

New Orleans Pelicans host Sacramento Kings at Smoothie King Center on Thursday, October 29 in the NBA. New Orleans Pelicans are 0–3 this season, Sacramento Kings 0–4. New Orleans Pelicans have lost their last 5 league games. Sacramento Kings have lost their last 5 league games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, New Orleans Pelicans are 24th at 18.1 and Sacramento Kings 23rd at 20.5.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 1Our models split from the pick: 6 of 7 favour New Orleans Pelicans.
  • 2Power Index: Sacramento Kings 23rd, New Orleans Pelicans 24th.
  • 3New Orleans Pelicans: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
  • 4Sacramento Kings: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
  • 5Rest: New Orleans Pelicans 5 days, Sacramento Kings 2 days.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 52%)

Our pick has Sacramento Kings winning 52% of the time, by 2.7 points. Across our 7 models the range is 35–52%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Injury Report

New Orleans Pelicans
  • OUT
    Yves Missi
    Knee Contusion / Bone Bruise
Sacramento Kings
  • OUT
    Dylan Cardwell
    Calf Strain
  • OUT
    Keegan Murray
    Capsulitis
  • OUT
    Maxime Raynaud
    Patella Subluxation
  • OUT
    Ben Simmons
    Achilles Tendon Repair / Surgery

Updated daily. Data from official injury reports.

Matchup Insights

Pace
Similar Pace31.3 vs 29.3
Injury ImpactSignificant
Home/Away Win%0% / 0%

Game Info

League
NBA
Date
Thu, Oct 29
Time
8:00 PM EDT
Venue
Smoothie King Center
Stage
Regular season