Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Prediction
How it works · Track recordCourtFrame model · Clear favourite
Oklahoma City Thunder
Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder by 6.4
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.
Where the value is on this game
Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.
- Elo82%
- Logistic76%
- Logistic v2Pub82%
- Logistic v2 + players76%
- Gradient boosting86%
- Gradient boosting + players85%
- LLM panel67%
Power Index
Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings
Form · Last 5 · incl. last season
Game Preview
Dallas Mavericks host Oklahoma City Thunder at American Airlines Center on Wednesday, October 28 in the NBA. Dallas Mavericks are 2–2 this season, Oklahoma City Thunder 4–0. Oklahoma City Thunder have won their last 4 league games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Dallas Mavericks are 16th at 37.3 and Oklahoma City Thunder 7th at 53.3.
Key Factors to Watch
- 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Oklahoma City Thunder the favourite.
- 2Power Index: Oklahoma City Thunder 7th, Dallas Mavericks 16th.
- 3Dallas Mavericks: W-L-W-L-W in the last 5 league games.
- 4Oklahoma City Thunder: L-W-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.
- 5Rest: Dallas Mavericks 3 days, Oklahoma City Thunder 2 days.
Model Outlook(Win probability: 76%)
The CourtFrame model has Oklahoma City Thunder winning 76% of the time, by 6.4 points. Across our 7 models the range is 67–86%.
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works
Injury Report
Dallas Mavericks- OUTSanti AldamaKnee Surgery
- OUTTarik BiberovicHeel Bursitis
- OUTDereck Lively IIFoot Surgery
- OUTNaji MarshallIllness
- OUTCaleb MartinThumb Sprain
- OUTSergio LarreaKnee Sprain
- OUTDereck Lively IIFoot Surgery
- DOUBTFULSanti AldamaKnee Surgery
- DOUBTFULTarik BiberovicHeel Bursitis de
- GTDKyrie IrvingKnee Injury Management
- GTDNaji MarshallIllness
- GTDCaleb MartinThumb Sprain
Oklahoma City Thunder- OUTAlex CarusoAnkle Sprain
- OUTChet HolmgrenKnee Patellar Tendinitis
- OUTThomas SorberKnee Surgery
- OUTNikola TopicLow back surgery
- OUTCason WallaceShoulder Labral Tear
- OUTJalen WilliamsAnkle Fracture
- GTDAjay MitchellAnkle Sprain
Updated daily. Data from official injury reports.
Matchup Insights
Game Info
- League
- NBA
- Date
- Wed, Oct 28
- Time
- 9:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- American Airlines Center
- Stage
- Regular season