CourtFrame
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NBA

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers

Prediction & preview · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 • Gainbridge Fieldhouse

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Indiana Pacers

Projected margin: Indiana Pacers by 1.8

51%Win probability
Indiana Pacers 51%49% Philadelphia 76ers

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models4 of 7 favour Philadelphia 76ers
  • Elo
    67%
  • Logistic
    52%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    49%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    48%
  • Gradient boosting
    53%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    56%
  • LLM panel
    39%

Power Index

Indiana Pacers74.6#4
Philadelphia 76ers67.2↓32.8#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Indiana Pacers1–0
LWLLW
6 days rest
Philadelphia 76ers1–0
LLLLW

Game Preview

Indiana Pacers host Philadelphia 76ers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday, October 28 in the NBA. Indiana Pacers are 1–0 this season, Philadelphia 76ers 1–0. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Indiana Pacers are 4th at 74.6 and Philadelphia 76ers 7th at 67.2.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 1Our models split from the pick: 4 of 7 favour Philadelphia 76ers.
  • 2Power Index: Indiana Pacers 4th, Philadelphia 76ers 7th.
  • 3Indiana Pacers: L-W-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
  • 4Philadelphia 76ers: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 51%)

The CourtFrame model has Indiana Pacers winning 51% of the time, by 1.8 points. Across our 7 models the range is 33–61%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Injury Report

Indiana Pacers
  • OUT
    Johnny Furphy
    ACL Repair / Surgery
  • OUT
    T.J. McConnell
    Hamstring Strain
  • OUT
    Aaron Nesmith
    Hamstring Strain
Philadelphia 76ers
  • OUT
    Dominick Barlow
    Low Back Stress Reaction
  • OUT
    Tacko Fall
    Quadriceps Strain
  • OUT
    Ariel Hukporti
    Achilles Tendon Rupture / Tear
  • GTD
    Adem Bona
    Foot Sprain
  • GTD
    Anfernee Simons
    Hamstring Tightness / Soreness
  • GTD
    Dean Wade
    Ankle Sprain

Updated daily. Data from official injury reports.

Matchup Insights

Pace
Similar Pace24.8 vs 23.9
Injury ImpactCritical

Game Info

League
NBA
Date
Wed, Oct 28
Time
7:00 PM EDT
Venue
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Stage
Regular season