CourtFrame
Pricing
Euroleague

Virtus Bologna vs Zalgiris Kaunas

Prediction & preview · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 • PalaDozza

CourtFrame model · Lean

Virtus Bologna

Projected margin: Virtus Bologna by 2.3

58%Win probability
Virtus Bologna 58%42% Zalgiris Kaunas

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Virtus Bologna
  • Elo
    51%
  • Logistic
    60%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    58%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    59%
  • Gradient boosting
    57%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    56%
  • LLM panel
    66%

Power Index

Virtus Bologna61.8↓11.1#8
Zalgiris Kaunas29.1↑0.3#15
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Virtus Bologna4–3
WWWWL
7 days rest
Zalgiris Kaunas2–4
LLWLL

Game Preview

Virtus Bologna host Zalgiris Kaunas at PalaDozza on Wednesday, October 28 in the Euroleague. Virtus Bologna are 4–3 this season, Zalgiris Kaunas 2–4. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Virtus Bologna are 8th at 61.8 and Zalgiris Kaunas 15th at 29.1.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Virtus Bologna the favourite.
  • 2Power Index: Virtus Bologna 8th, Zalgiris Kaunas 15th.
  • 3Virtus Bologna: W-W-W-W-L in the last 5.
  • 4Zalgiris Kaunas: L-L-W-L-L in the last 5.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 58%)

The CourtFrame model has Virtus Bologna winning 58% of the time, by 2.3 points. Across our 7 models the range is 51–66%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Fast vs Slow90.9 vs 84.8
Home/Away Win%100% / 50%

Game Info

Date
Wed, Oct 28
Time
7:30 PM UTC
Venue
PalaDozza
Stage
Regular season · Round 8