Prediction
How it works · Track recordCourtFrame model · Clear favourite
Miami Heat
Projected margin: Miami Heat by 6.0
70%Win probability
Miami Heat 70%30% Dallas Mavericks
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.
Pro Insight
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7 Models7 of 7 favour Miami Heat
- Elo72%
- Logistic72%
- Logistic v2Pub70%
- Logistic v2 + players70%
- Gradient boosting71%
- Gradient boosting + players70%
- LLM panel59%
Power Index · 2025-26 final
Miami Heat64.5#11
Dallas Mavericks35.7#25
Components scaled within the league that season. Rankings
Form · Last 5 · incl. last season
Miami Heat
LLWWL
Dallas Mavericks
WLLLW
Game Preview
Miami Heat host Dallas Mavericks at Kaseya Center on Monday, October 26 in the NBA. In the CourtFrame Power Index (last season's final), Miami Heat are 11th at 64.5 and Dallas Mavericks 25th at 35.7.
Key Factors to Watch
- 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Miami Heat the favourite.
- 2Power Index (last season): Miami Heat 11th, Dallas Mavericks 25th.
- 3Miami Heat: L-L-W-W-L in the last 5 league games.
- 4Dallas Mavericks: W-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
Model Outlook(Win probability: 70%)
The CourtFrame model has Miami Heat winning 70% of the time, by 6.0 points. Across our 7 models the range is 59–72%.
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works
Game Info
- League
- NBA
- Date
- Mon, Oct 26
- Time
- 7:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Kaseya Center
- Stage
- Regular season