CourtFrame
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NBA

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks

Prediction & preview · Friday, October 23, 2026 • Gainbridge Fieldhouse

CourtFrame model · Lean

Indiana Pacers

Projected margin: Indiana Pacers by 4.5

62%Win probability
Indiana Pacers 62%38% Dallas Mavericks

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Indiana Pacers
  • Elo
    53%
  • Logistic
    60%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    62%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    63%
  • Gradient boosting
    60%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    58%
  • LLM panel
    59%

Power Index · 2025-26 final

Indiana Pacers36.9#24
Dallas Mavericks35.7#25
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league that season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Indiana Pacers
LLWLL
Dallas Mavericks
WLLLW

Game Preview

Indiana Pacers host Dallas Mavericks at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday, October 23 in the NBA. In the CourtFrame Power Index (last season's final), Indiana Pacers are 24th at 36.9 and Dallas Mavericks 25th at 35.7.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Indiana Pacers the favourite.
  • 2Power Index (last season): Indiana Pacers 24th, Dallas Mavericks 25th.
  • 3Indiana Pacers: L-L-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.
  • 4Dallas Mavericks: W-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 62%)

The CourtFrame model has Indiana Pacers winning 62% of the time, by 4.5 points. Across our 7 models the range is 53–63%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven

Game Info

League
NBA
Date
Fri, Oct 23
Time
7:00 PM EDT
Venue
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Stage
Regular season