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NBA

New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers

Prediction & preview · Wednesday, October 21, 2026 • Smoothie King Center

Our pick · Lean

New Orleans Pelicans

Projected margin: New Orleans Pelicans by 0.7

59%Win probability
New Orleans Pelicans 59%41% Indiana Pacers

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

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7 Models7 of 7 favour New Orleans Pelicans
  • Elo
    63%
  • Logistic
    55%
  • Logistic v2
    56%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    57%
  • Gradient boosting
    60%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    60%
  • LLM panelPub
    59%

Power Index · 2025-26 final

New Orleans Pelicans22.5#27
Indiana Pacers36.9#24
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league that season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

New Orleans Pelicans
LLWLL
Indiana Pacers
LLWLL

Game Preview

New Orleans Pelicans host Indiana Pacers at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday, October 21 in the NBA. In the CourtFrame Power Index (last season's final), New Orleans Pelicans are 27th at 22.5 and Indiana Pacers 24th at 36.9.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make New Orleans Pelicans the favourite.
  • 2Power Index (last season): Indiana Pacers 24th, New Orleans Pelicans 27th.
  • 3New Orleans Pelicans: L-L-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.
  • 4Indiana Pacers: L-L-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 59%)

Our pick has New Orleans Pelicans winning 59% of the time, by 0.7 points. Across our 7 models the range is 55–63%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Game Info

League
NBA
Date
Wed, Oct 21
Time
8:00 PM EDT
Venue
Smoothie King Center
Stage
Regular season