CourtFrame
Pricing
Euroleague

Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs Virtus Bologna

Prediction & preview · Wednesday, October 21, 2026 • Arena Botevgrad

CourtFrame model · Lean

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Projected margin: Hapoel Tel-Aviv by 6.4

69%Win probability
Hapoel Tel-Aviv 69%31% Virtus Bologna

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Hapoel Tel-Aviv
  • Elo
    75%
  • Logistic
    72%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    76%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    76%
  • Gradient boosting
    72%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    70%
  • LLM panel
    66%

Power Index

Hapoel Tel-Aviv92.6#4
Virtus Bologna72.9#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Hapoel Tel-Aviv4–2
WWLWW
5 days rest
Virtus Bologna4–2
LWWWW
5 days rest

Game Preview

Hapoel Tel-Aviv host Virtus Bologna at Arena Botevgrad on Wednesday, October 21 in the Euroleague. Hapoel Tel-Aviv are 4–2 this season, Virtus Bologna 4–2. Virtus Bologna have won their last 4 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Hapoel Tel-Aviv are 4th at 92.6 and Virtus Bologna 7th at 72.9.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Hapoel Tel-Aviv the favourite.
  • 2Power Index: Hapoel Tel-Aviv 4th, Virtus Bologna 7th.
  • 3Hapoel Tel-Aviv: W-W-L-W-W in the last 5.
  • 4Virtus Bologna: L-W-W-W-W in the last 5.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 69%)

The CourtFrame model has Hapoel Tel-Aviv winning 69% of the time, by 6.4 points. Across our 7 models the range is 66–76%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Slow vs Fast81.9 vs 90.3
Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%66.7% / 50%

Game Info

Date
Wed, Oct 21
Time
4:00 PM UTC
Venue
Arena Botevgrad
Stage
Regular season · Round 7