CourtFrame
Pricing
Premier League

Al Najma vs Al Ittihad

Prediction & preview · Monday, October 12, 2026

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Al Ittihad

Projected margin: Al Ittihad by 1.7

50%Win probability
Al Najma 50%50% Al Ittihad

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models5 of 7 favour Al Najma
  • Elo
    47%
  • Logistic
    46%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    50%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    51%
  • Gradient boosting
    51%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    51%
  • LLM panel
    64%

Power Index

Al Najma100.0#2
Al Ittihad0.0#6
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Al Najma1–0
WLLLW
Al Ittihad0–1
WL
6 days rest

Game Preview

Al Najma host Al Ittihad on Monday, October 12 in the Premier League. Al Najma are 1–0 this season, Al Ittihad 0–1. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Al Najma are 2nd at 100.0 and Al Ittihad 6th at 0.0.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 1Our models split from the pick: 5 of 7 favour Al Najma.
  • 2Power Index: Al Najma 2nd, Al Ittihad 6th.
  • 3Al Najma: W-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 50%)

The CourtFrame model has Al Ittihad winning 50% of the time, by 1.7 points. Across our 7 models the range is 36–54%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Game Info

Date
Mon, Oct 12
Time
5:00 PM UTC