CourtFrame
Pricing
NBA W

Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces

Prediction & preview · Wednesday, October 7, 2026 • Chase Center

CourtFrame model · Lean

Golden State Valkyries W

Projected margin: Golden State Valkyries W by 3.0

66%Win probability
Golden State Valkyries W 66%34% Las Vegas Aces W

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

then $29/month · cancel anytime
7 Models7 of 7 favour Golden State Valkyries W
  • Elo
    63%
  • Logistic
    61%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    65%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    68%
  • Gradient boosting
    61%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    63%
  • LLM panel
    62%

Power Index

Golden State Valkyries W93.1#2
Las Vegas Aces W83.1#4
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Golden State Valkyries W36–13
WWLWW
4 days rest
Las Vegas Aces W32–18
WWLWL
4 days rest

Game Preview

Golden State Valkyries host Las Vegas Aces at Chase Center on Wednesday, October 7 in the NBA W (semi-finals). Golden State Valkyries are 36–13 this season, Las Vegas Aces 32–18. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Golden State Valkyries are 2nd at 93.1 and Las Vegas Aces 4th at 83.1.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Golden State Valkyries the favourite.
  • 2Power Index: Golden State Valkyries 2nd, Las Vegas Aces 4th.
  • 3Golden State Valkyries: W-W-L-W-W in the last 5.
  • 4Las Vegas Aces: W-W-L-W-L in the last 5.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 66%)

The CourtFrame model has Golden State Valkyries winning 66% of the time, by 3.0 points. Across our 7 models the range is 61–68%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Slow vs Fast87.0 vs 92.4
Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%80.8% / 61.5%

Game Info

League
NBA W
Date
Wed, Oct 7
Time
9:30 PM EDT
Venue
Chase Center
Stage
Semi-finals