CourtFrame
Pricing
ACB

Bilbao vs San Pablo Burgos

Prediction & preview · Sunday, October 11, 2026 • Bilbao Arena

CourtFrame model · Lean

San Pablo Burgos

Projected margin: San Pablo Burgos by 0.5

57%Win probability
Bilbao 43%57% San Pablo Burgos

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

then $29/month · cancel anytime
7 Models4 of 7 favour San Pablo Burgos
  • Elo
    36%
  • Logistic
    39%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    57%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    57%
  • Gradient boosting
    55%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    53%
  • LLM panel
    44%

Power Index

Bilbao38.4#9
San Pablo Burgos41.9#6
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Bilbao1–1
WLLWL
7 days rest
San Pablo Burgos1–1
WLWLW
7 days rest

Game Preview

Bilbao host San Pablo Burgos at Bilbao Arena on Sunday, October 11 in the ACB. Bilbao are 1–1 this season, San Pablo Burgos 1–1. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Bilbao are 9th at 38.4 and San Pablo Burgos 6th at 41.9.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 14 of 7 CourtFrame models make San Pablo Burgos the favourite.
  • 2Power Index: San Pablo Burgos 6th, Bilbao 9th.
  • 3Bilbao: W-L-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.
  • 4San Pablo Burgos: W-L-W-L-W in the last 5 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 57%)

The CourtFrame model has San Pablo Burgos winning 57% of the time, by 0.5 points. Across our 7 models the range is 36–57%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Similar Pace98.5 vs 101.1
Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%100% / 100%

Game Info

League
ACB
Date
Sun, Oct 11
Time
4:00 PM UTC
Venue
Bilbao Arena
Stage
Regular season · Round 3