CourtFrame
Pricing
ACB

Baskonia vs Joventut Badalona

Prediction & preview · Sunday, October 11, 2026 • Fernando Buesa Arena

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Baskonia

Projected margin: Baskonia by 6.1

83%Win probability
Baskonia 83%17% Joventut Badalona

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Baskonia
  • Elo
    65%
  • Logistic
    74%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    83%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    83%
  • Gradient boosting
    81%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    81%
  • LLM panel
    74%

Power Index

Baskonia100.0#1
Joventut Badalona1.9#16
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Baskonia2–0
WLLWW
7 days rest
Joventut Badalona0–1
WLLLL

Game Preview

Baskonia host Joventut Badalona at Fernando Buesa Arena on Sunday, October 11 in the ACB. Baskonia are 2–0 this season, Joventut Badalona 0–1. Joventut Badalona have lost their last 4 league games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Baskonia are 1st at 100.0 and Joventut Badalona 16th at 1.9.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Baskonia the favourite.
  • 2Power Index: Baskonia 1st, Joventut Badalona 16th.
  • 3Baskonia: W-L-L-W-W in the last 5 league games.
  • 4Joventut Badalona: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 83%)

The CourtFrame model has Baskonia winning 83% of the time, by 6.1 points. Across our 7 models the range is 65–83%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Slow vs Fast85.4 vs 92.4
Home/Away Win%100% / 0%

Game Info

League
ACB
Date
Sun, Oct 11
Time
3:00 PM UTC
Venue
Fernando Buesa Arena
Stage
Regular season · Round 3