CourtFrame
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ACB

Murcia vs Tenerife

Prediction & preview · Sunday, October 11, 2026 • Palacio de Deportes de Murcia

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Murcia

Projected margin: Murcia by 6.5

71%Win probability
Murcia 71%29% Tenerife

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models6 of 7 favour Murcia
  • Elo
    63%
  • Logistic
    67%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    71%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    71%
  • Gradient boosting
    65%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    65%
  • LLM panel
    39%

Power Index

Murcia36.6#11
Tenerife38.7#8
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Murcia1–1
LWLLW
7 days rest
Tenerife1–1
LLLLW

Game Preview

Murcia host Tenerife at Palacio de Deportes de Murcia on Sunday, October 11 in the ACB. Murcia are 1–1 this season, Tenerife 1–1. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Murcia are 11th at 36.6 and Tenerife 8th at 38.7.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 16 of 7 CourtFrame models make Murcia the favourite.
  • 2Power Index: Tenerife 8th, Murcia 11th.
  • 3Murcia: L-W-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
  • 4Tenerife: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 71%)

The CourtFrame model has Murcia winning 71% of the time, by 6.5 points. Across our 7 models the range is 39–71%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Fast vs Slow94.4 vs 78.0
Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%100% / 100%

Game Info

League
ACB
Date
Sun, Oct 11
Time
10:30 AM UTC
Venue
Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Stage
Regular season · Round 3

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