CourtFrame
Pricing
ACB

Obradoiro CAB vs Forca Lleida

Prediction & preview · Sunday, October 11, 2026 • Pavillón Multiusos Fontes do Sar

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Forca Lleida

Projected margin: Forca Lleida by 0.5

51%Win probability
Obradoiro CAB 49%51% Forca Lleida

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models4 of 7 favour Obradoiro CAB
  • Elo
    64%
  • Logistic
    69%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    49%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    49%
  • Gradient boosting
    54%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    53%
  • LLM panel
    40%

Power Index

Obradoiro CAB38.3#10
Forca Lleida41.8#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Obradoiro CAB1–1
WL
7 days rest
Forca Lleida1–1
WLLWL
7 days rest

Game Preview

Obradoiro CAB host Forca Lleida at Pavillón Multiusos Fontes do Sar on Sunday, October 11 in the ACB. Obradoiro CAB are 1–1 this season, Forca Lleida 1–1. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Obradoiro CAB are 10th at 38.3 and Forca Lleida 7th at 41.8.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 1Our models split from the pick: 4 of 7 favour Obradoiro CAB.
  • 2Power Index: Forca Lleida 7th, Obradoiro CAB 10th.
  • 3Forca Lleida: W-L-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 51%)

The CourtFrame model has Forca Lleida winning 51% of the time, by 0.5 points. Across our 7 models the range is 31–60%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Similar Pace97.9 vs 95.9
Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%0% / 100%

Game Info

League
ACB
Date
Sun, Oct 11
Time
10:00 AM UTC
Venue
Pavillón Multiusos Fontes do Sar
Stage
Regular season · Round 3