CourtFrame
Pricing
SLB

Leicester Riders vs Bristol Flyers

Prediction & preview · Friday, October 9, 2026 • Mattioli Arena

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Leicester Riders

Projected margin: Leicester Riders by 1.7

54%Win probability
Leicester Riders 54%46% Bristol Flyers

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

then $29/month · cancel anytime
7 Models5 of 7 favour Leicester Riders
  • Elo
    52%
  • Logistic
    46%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    53%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    54%
  • Gradient boosting
    51%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    51%
  • LLM panel
    37%

Power Index

Leicester Riders15.1#9
Bristol Flyers56.5#4
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Leicester Riders0–2
WLLLL
7 days rest
Bristol Flyers2–2
LLWLW
7 days rest

Game Preview

Leicester Riders host Bristol Flyers at Mattioli Arena on Friday, October 9 in the SLB. Leicester Riders are 0–2 this season, Bristol Flyers 2–2. Leicester Riders have lost their last 4 league games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Leicester Riders are 9th at 15.1 and Bristol Flyers 4th at 56.5.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 15 of 7 CourtFrame models make Leicester Riders the favourite.
  • 2Power Index: Bristol Flyers 4th, Leicester Riders 9th.
  • 3Leicester Riders: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
  • 4Bristol Flyers: L-L-W-L-W in the last 5 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 54%)

The CourtFrame model has Leicester Riders winning 54% of the time, by 1.7 points. Across our 7 models the range is 37–54%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Slow vs Fast82.6 vs 89.1
Schedule EdgeEven

Game Info

League
SLB
Date
Fri, Oct 9
Time
6:30 PM UTC
Venue
Mattioli Arena