CourtFrame
Pricing
Euroleague

Valencia vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Prediction & preview · Thursday, October 8, 2026 • Roig Arena

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Valencia

Projected margin: Valencia by 8.1

78%Win probability
Valencia 78%Bookmakers 47–5322% Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Valencia
  • Elo
    69%
  • Logistic
    76%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    78%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    78%
  • Gradient boosting
    72%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    72%
  • LLM panel
    55%

Bookmakers: Valencia 47%

Power Index

Valencia100.0#2
Hapoel Tel-Aviv62.9#9
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Valencia3–0
WLWWW
4 days rest
Hapoel Tel-Aviv2–1
WLLWW
7 days rest

Game Preview

Valencia host Hapoel Tel-Aviv at Roig Arena on Thursday, October 8 in the Euroleague. Valencia are 3–0 this season, Hapoel Tel-Aviv 2–1. Valencia have won their last 3 league games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Valencia are 2nd at 100.0 and Hapoel Tel-Aviv 9th at 62.9.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Valencia the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers price Valencia at 47%, 31 points below our 78%.
  • 3Power Index: Valencia 2nd, Hapoel Tel-Aviv 9th.
  • 4Valencia: W-L-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.
  • 5Hapoel Tel-Aviv: W-L-L-W-W in the last 5 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 78%)

The CourtFrame model has Valencia winning 78% of the time, by 8.1 points. Across our 7 models the range is 55–78%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Similar Pace84.3 vs 86.5
Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%100% / 100%

Game Info

Date
Thu, Oct 8
Time
6:30 PM UTC
Venue
Roig Arena
Stage
Regular season · Round 4