Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Besiktas | Preview

Euroleague

Wednesday, September 30, 2026 • Aleksandar Nikolic Hall

Besiktas

Away

See how the model expects this to go

Prediction

Winner

Besiktas

Confidence

62%

Margin

-5.7

AI Consensus7 of 7 agree

62%confident

▸Besiktas holds a significant advantage in Net Rating (+17
▸Besiktas shows a significant advantage in offensive efficiency with an ORtg of 125
▸Besiktas has a significant advantage in advanced offensive metrics, with a much higher ORtg and Net Rating compared to Maccabi Tel Aviv

Matchup Insights

Pace

Fast vs Slow60.6 vs 53.2

Injury ImpactNone

Schedule EdgeEven

Home/Away Win%0% / 0%

Upset Risk70.00%

Confidence Breakdown

Stats73%

Market71%

Momentum67%

Injuries68%

Matchup66%

Sentiment68%

Besiktas holds a significant advantage in Net Rating (+17.6) compared to Maccabi Tel Aviv (-7.7), indicating stronger overall performance. Their superior True Shooting % (83.3) and Effective FG% (82.3) suggest higher shooting efficiency. Despite a slower pace (53.2), Besiktas's Offensive Rating (125.8) is markedly higher than Maccabi's (99), which could lead to a higher scoring game. The statistical trends favor Besiktas as the more efficient and effective team. Besiktas shows a significant advantage in offensive efficiency with an ORtg of 125.8 compared to Maccabi Tel Aviv's 99. Despite the slower pace, Besiktas's high eFG% and TS% suggest they can score efficiently. The CPI differential of -22.7 also favors Besiktas. The predicted total reflects Besiktas's high-scoring potential against Maccabi's weaker defense (DRtg 106.7), but playoff context may slow the pace slightly. Besiktas has a significant advantage in advanced offensive metrics, with a much higher ORtg and Net Rating compared to Maccabi Tel Aviv. Both teams are well-rested with 5 days off, but Besiktas' offensive efficiency and higher scoring potential (94 PPG in their last game) suggest they can overcome the home court advantage. The lack of recent head-to-head data and playoff experience is a factor, but Besiktas' superior form metrics give them the edge. Besiktas shows a significant offensive advantage with a higher ORtg and Net Rating compared to Maccabi Tel Aviv. Despite both teams having no significant injuries, Besiktas's superior offensive efficiency (ORtg 125.8) and higher PPG (94) suggest they will outperform Maccabi's defense. The lack of recent head-to-head data and similar rest periods imply no fatigue advantage. The CPI differential also favors Besiktas, indicating a stronger overall team performance. Besiktas shows a significantly higher offensive rating and net rating compared to Maccabi Tel Aviv, indicating a stronger overall performance. Their slower pace might allow them to control the tempo against Maccabi's faster style. Despite no recent head-to-head data, Besiktas's superior efficiency metrics suggest they have the edge. The playoff context could tighten defenses, but Besiktas's offensive prowess should prevail. Despite both teams having similar records and no significant injuries, Besiktas shows a much stronger offensive performance with a significantly higher offensive rating and true shooting percentage. Maccabi Tel Aviv's defensive rating is also concerning, and given the playoff context where Besiktas has slightly more playoff experience, they may leverage that advantage to secure a win. Besiktas shows significantly better advanced stats with a strong offensive rating and net rating compared to Maccabi Tel Aviv. Despite both teams having equal rest, Besiktas' recent form suggests they are capable of an upset, especially with a higher Courtframe Power Index. Maccabi's negative net rating and lower offensive efficiency raise concerns.

CPI Matchup

Maccabi Tel Aviv0.64

#19

Besiktas28.94

#12

Edge: Besiktas 28.3 CPI

Game Info

League: Euroleague
Date: Wed, Sep 30
Time: 6:05 PM
Venue: Aleksandar Nikolic Hall
Stage: 2

Team Pages

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Besiktas