Basquet Girona vs Basket Zaragoza | Preview

ACB

Saturday, May 2, 2026 • Pavello Fontajau

Basket Zaragoza

Away

Prediction

Winner

Basquet Girona

Confidence

59%

Margin

+4.4

AI Consensus7 of 7 agree

59%confident

▸Basquet Girona holds a significant advantage in Net Rating (-0
▸Basquet Girona has a slight edge with a better Courtframe Power Index and home court advantage
▸Basquet Girona has a slight edge due to their home court advantage and better recent form compared to Basket Zaragoza

Matchup Insights

Pace

Slow vs Fast54 vs 61.3

Injury ImpactNone

Schedule EdgeAway Advantage

Home/Away Win%40% / 16.7%

Upset Risk40.00%

Confidence Breakdown

Stats65%

Market62%

Momentum66%

Injuries58%

Matchup63%

Sentiment70%

Basquet Girona holds a significant advantage in Net Rating (-0.3 vs -10.7) and shooting efficiency (TS% 76.3 vs 72.9). Despite a slower pace (54 vs 61.3), their offensive and defensive ratings suggest they can capitalize on Zaragoza's defensive struggles (DRtg 124.9). With home court advantage and better recent form, Girona is favored to win in a moderately paced game. Basquet Girona has a slight edge with a better Courtframe Power Index and home court advantage. Both teams have similar scoring averages, but Girona's defensive rating is significantly better than Zaragoza's, suggesting a potential edge in a playoff setting where defense is crucial. The predicted total reflects both teams' high scoring averages and Zaragoza's faster pace, but playoff dynamics could moderate this slightly. Basquet Girona has a slight edge due to their home court advantage and better recent form compared to Basket Zaragoza. Despite both teams having similar offensive outputs, Zaragoza's poor defensive rating and extended rest might lead to rust, especially in a playoff setting where defense tightens. Girona's recent game experience and home performance should provide them with enough momentum to secure a win. Both teams are at full strength, but Basquet Girona has a slight edge due to better recent form and home court advantage. Despite similar PPG, Girona's superior defensive rating and higher Courtframe Power Index suggest they can exploit Zaragoza's defensive weaknesses. The playoff context favors Girona's experience and home crowd support, though the confidence is tempered by historical calibration adjustments. Basquet Girona has a slight edge due to their better recent form and home court advantage, despite both teams having similar offensive outputs. Girona's defense is marginally better, and they have a more favorable Courtframe Power Index. Zaragoza's poor road performance and defensive struggles (DRtg 124.9) further tilt the balance towards Girona. The pace of the game might be controlled by Zaragoza's faster style, but Girona's slightly better defense and home crowd support should prevail. Basquet Girona has a better overall record and is playing at home, where they have shown some ability to score despite their recent struggles. Zaragoza's away performance has been poor, and although both teams have similar scoring averages, Girona's advanced stats indicate a stronger offensive efficiency. The home crowd and playoff experience could provide an additional edge for Girona. Despite Basquet Girona's slightly better record and home advantage, Basket Zaragoza's extended rest period could be a significant factor. Zaragoza has had 13 days of rest, which might allow them to come in fresh and well-prepared. Additionally, Girona's recent form is shaky, and their defensive metrics (DRtg 116.5) suggest vulnerabilities that Zaragoza could exploit. However, Girona's slightly better overall metrics and home court should still give them the edge.

CPI Matchup

Basquet Girona32.48

#12

Basket Zaragoza13.73

#17

Edge: Basquet Girona +18.7 CPI

Game Info

League: ACB
Date: Sat, May 2
Time: 5:00 PM
Venue: Pavello Fontajau
Stage: 29

Team Pages

Basquet Girona

Basket Zaragoza