Surrey 89ers vs Cheshire Phoenix | Preview

SLB

Friday, May 1, 2026 • Surrey Sports Park

Cheshire Phoenix

Away

Prediction

Winner

Cheshire Phoenix

Confidence

64%

Margin

-7.7

AI Consensus7 of 7 agree

64%confident

▸Cheshire Phoenix holds a significant advantage in Net Rating (15
▸Cheshire Phoenix has a significantly better record and superior advanced stats, including a much higher offensive rating and net rating compared to Surrey 89ers
▸Cheshire Phoenix enter the game on a strong form (WWWLW) and have a significant statistical advantage with a higher Net Rating and Offensive Rating

Matchup Insights

Pace

Fast vs Slow65.4 vs 60.9

Injury ImpactNone

Schedule EdgeEven

Home/Away Win%42.9% / 71.4%

Upset Risk35.00%

Confidence Breakdown

Stats71%

Market82%

Momentum78%

Injuries75%

Matchup72%

Sentiment70%

Cheshire Phoenix holds a significant advantage in Net Rating (15.3 vs 3.2) and True Shooting % (75.2 vs 69.1). Despite a slower pace, their offensive efficiency (ORtg 117.8) and defensive strength (DRtg 102.5) suggest they can control the game. Surrey's home performance is weaker, and Cheshire's road success (71.4% win rate) further supports their edge. Cheshire Phoenix has a significantly better record and superior advanced stats, including a much higher offensive rating and net rating compared to Surrey 89ers. Despite the home advantage for Surrey, Cheshire's strong road performance and higher Courtframe Power Index suggest they are the stronger team. The predicted total reflects both teams' high-scoring nature, but playoff context may slightly lower the pace. Cheshire Phoenix enter the game on a strong form (WWWLW) and have a significant statistical advantage with a higher Net Rating and Offensive Rating. Despite being on the road, they have performed well away from home (5-2 record). Surrey 89ers have been inconsistent and have a negative differential in the Courtframe Power Index. Both teams are relatively well-rested, but Cheshire's superior recent form and offensive efficiency give them the edge. Cheshire Phoenix has a significant advantage in both offensive and defensive metrics, as indicated by their higher ORtg and lower DRtg. Their superior record and performance on the road further bolster their position. Surrey 89ers' lack of playoff experience and lower CPI suggest they may struggle against the more efficient Cheshire Phoenix. With no injuries affecting either team, the Phoenix's stronger form and depth should lead them to victory. Cheshire Phoenix's superior offensive efficiency (ORtg 117.8) and strong road performance (71.4% win rate) suggest they can control the game despite Surrey's home advantage. Surrey's slower pace (65.4) may not disrupt Cheshire's efficient scoring, especially given Surrey's weaker defense (DRtg 107.2). The lack of recent H2H data and playoff experience for both teams adds uncertainty, but Cheshire's overall form and CPI advantage favor them. Cheshire Phoenix has been performing significantly better in recent games, with a higher offensive rating and overall efficiency compared to Surrey 89ers. The 89ers' recent form indicates inconsistency, while the Phoenix have shown a strong ability to score and maintain defensive pressure. Given the playoff context, Cheshire's superior stats and recent form suggest they will have the edge in this matchup. Cheshire Phoenix is the stronger team based on recent form and advanced metrics, with a significant Net Rating advantage. However, Surrey 89ers have the benefit of more rest and home court advantage, which could amplify their performance in a playoff setting. The lack of playoff experience for both teams introduces uncertainty, but Cheshire's superior offensive efficiency suggests they should prevail.

CPI Matchup

Surrey 89ers46.52

Cheshire Phoenix91.18

Edge: Cheshire Phoenix 44.7 CPI

Game Info

League: SLB
Date: Fri, May 1
Time: 6:30 PM
Venue: Surrey Sports Park
Stage: SLB - Quarter-finals

Team Pages

Surrey 89ers

Cheshire Phoenix